L'Insee relève son estimation de croissance à 0,5% au premier trimestre

23 Juin, 2017, 10:24 | Author: Marc Bacque

Ce dernier a été favorisé par l'arrivée à échéance en avril du dispositif de suramortissement fiscal des investissements productifs, un mécanisme de déduction fiscale sur ces investissements qui a poussé les entreprises à en profiter massivement avant son expiration.

Les dépenses de consommation des ménages, annoncées précédemment en légère hausse (+0,1%), ont finalement stagné sur les trois premiers mois de l'année, et ce avec une hausse limitée à 0,1% de leur pouvoir d'achat, tout comme au dernier trimestre 2016, une évolution liée notamment à l'accélération de l'inflation. La contribution des importations est passée de 1,4% à 1,2% dans la version révisée et celle des exportations de -0,8% à -0,7%.

Malgré cette révision, l'institut statistique maintient inchangé son estimation de l'acquis de croissance, c'est-à-dire le niveau que le PIB atteindrait si l'activité ne progressait pas sur les trois prochains trimestres, à 0,9%.

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L'Insee avait initialement évalué la croissance en France au premier trimestre à 0,3%, puis à 0,4% en deuxième lecture. Sur l'ensemble de 2017, elle devrait atteindre 1,6%, un niveau "inédit" depuis 2011.

L'investissement global a accéléré à +1,2% sous l'effet d'une forte dynamique de celui des entreprises (+1,9%) et d'une croissance toujours soutenue de celui des ménages (+1,0%), des évolutions sans changement par rapport aux estimations précédentes.


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