Plaidoyer pour la paix en meeting à Marseille — Jean-Luc Mélenchon

21 Avril, 2017, 16:41 | Author: Marc Bacque
  • Mélenchon (18%) passe devant Fillon, occupe la 3ème place et ravive le rêve d'un second tour

Si les deux candidats ne sont qu'à 0,5 point d'écart (la marge d'erreur est autour de 2), il faut noter que le socle du candidat LR est plus solide que celui du leader de la France insoumise. "Si la paix que propose Jean-Luc Mélenchon, c'est de désarmer la France de manière unilatérale devant celles et ceux qui nous attaquent, très peu pour moi", a poursuivi M. Macron. Le candidat entend désormais concentrer sa campagne sur les indécis et les abstentionnistes pour séduire par exemple un électorat gaulliste dégoûté par les affaires Fillon ou les ouvriers et employés, que le Front national a pu capter ces dernières années.

Selon notre enquête quotidienne "La Présidentielle en temps réel", François Fillon et Jean-Luc Mélenchon gagnent un demi-point ce mardi alors que Marine Le Pen et Emmanuel Macron restent stables. "Je n'ai jamais échangé sur ce sujet le moindre SMS avec François Fillon", a-t-il ajouté, en ajoutant que pour le candidat des Républicains "la perte de repères ne commence pas aujourd'hui". "Et si vous en choisissez un pour la guerre, ne vous étonnez pas si elle finit par arriver", a scandé Jean-Luc Mélenchon sur la Canebière. Dans la vague du jour, l'intervalle de confiance à 95% est estimé à moins de 1,6 point pour tous les candidats ayant obtenu 20 ou 80% des intentions de vote. Marine Le Pen passe de 25 à 24%, Emmanuel Macron de 24 à 23%.

Benoît Hamon dont l'éventualité d'un retrait est évoquée par certains socialistes poursuit sa descente aux enfers et perd encore 0,5 point, à 8,5% d'intentions de vote. L'objectif étant désormais de se qualifier pour le second tour, le candidat est "pleinement conscient de cette opportunité historique qui s'offre à nous dans les prochains jours", selon M. Bompard. " J'ai vu qu'Emmanuel Macron se présentait comme le candidat de l'alternance profonde".

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"On garde la tête sur les épaules pour ne perdre aucun instant en euphorie et pour être sur le terrain, convaincre les indécis et les abstentionnistes", promet Danielle Simonnet, porte-parole de M. Mélenchon et coordinatrice du Parti de gauche. Pour 60% des Français, Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou et Jean-Luc Mélenchon sont "honnêtes".

Quant à François Fillon, Emmanuel Macron a démenti lui avoir envoyé un SMS pour approuver sa position sur la déchéance de nationalité.

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