Mélenchon envoie un SMS de soutien à Fillon et Macron — Attentat déjoué

20 Avril, 2017, 18:35 | Author: Loic Jullien
  • Affiches des candidats à l'élection présidentielle devant le Mont-Blanc près des Houches le 14 avril 2017

Ensuite, pour prendre en compte l'aspect personnifié du vote et départager les candidats des blocs, les étudiants ont utilisé trois sources de données que sont les sondages, Twitter et Google, et les ont analysées séparément avant de les combiner. Jamais plus de cinq points ne les séparent.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon a assuré mardi qu'il ne souhaitait sortir ni de l'Europe ni de l'euro. Si véritablement la défaite de la gauche était la priorité de la droite, on ne comprend pas pourquoi les ténors de la droite n'hésitent pas à jurer qu'en cas de second tour Marine/Macron, ils voteraient sans hésiter pour Macron.

En majorité, les Français déclarent privilégier un candidat qui est plus proche de leurs idées, même s'il a peu de chances d'être au second tour face à un candidat qui ne correspond pas totalement à leurs idées mais qui a le plus de chances d'être présent au second tour (74% contre 26%).

Les intentions de vote ne constituent pas une prévision du résultat du scrutin.

Le candidat LR progresse de deux points par rapport à début avril mais bénéficie de moins de réserves potentielles que ses adversaires.

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Sauf à la mettre en parallèle avec la remontée de François Fillon. Cette remontée inespérée se traduit par un chiffre: 18,5%. Cependant, cela pourrait ne pas lui suffire pour ravir une place au second tour.

Il s'est dit convaincu de "bousculer tous les scénarios écrits" pour inscrire dans les livres d'Histoire l'année 2017 comme celle du "sursaut" et non des "prétendues affaires" et "bavardages".

Cela signifie qu'on ne peut pas compter sur un éventuel report de voix miraculeux au dernier moment. Pour lui, une seule option possible au soir du 23 avril: voir Emmanuel Macron parmi les " finalistes ".

Benoît Hamon est quant à lui décroché, crédité de 8% des intentions de vote, une baisse de deux points.

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